Organizers: Theme Day Organizer: Will Martin, The World Bank Non-Theme Day Organizer: P. Lynn Kennedy, Louisiana State University
“Agricultural Price Volatility, Trade Policy and Food Security in Developing Countries”
December 11-13, 2011
St. Petersburg, Florida
Theme-Day Presentations: “Agricultural Price Volatility, Trade Policy and Food Security in Developing Countries”
Theme Day Organizer: Will Martin (The World Bank)
- Food Prices and the Poor: The Differential Welfare Effects of Volatility and Levels (pdf)
Christopher B. Barrett (Cornell University)
Discussant: Christopher Delgado (The World Bank) - Short and Long-Run Impacts of Food Prices on Poverty (pdf) / slides (pdf)
Will Martin (The World Bank)
Discussant: Anna D’Souza (ERS, USDA) – remarks (pdf) - Impacts of Climate Change and Biofuel Policies on Commodity Market Volatility
Thomas Hertel (Purdue University and Stanford University)
Discussants: Susan Capalbo (Oregon State University) - Optimal Policies for Individual Countries in Managing Food Price Volatility (pdf) / slides (pdf)
Christophe Gouel (The World Bank and CEPII)
Discussant: Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University) – remarks (pdf) - Impact on World Price Volatility of Many Countries Using Trade Policy to Stabilize Domestic Prices (pdf) / slides (pdf)
Kym Anderson (University of Adelaide)
Discussant: Terry Roe (University of Minneosta) – remarks (pdf) - Round Table Discussion (pdf)
Panel: Hafez Ghanem (FAO), Maximo Torero (IFPRI), Brian Wright (University of California, Berkeley)
Non-Theme Day Paper Presentations
Non-Theme Day Organizer: P. Lynn Kennedy (Louisiana State University)
NTMs, Agricultural and Food Trade, and Competitiveness: Findings from the NTM-IMPACT Project
Organizers: Christine Wieck and David Orden
- Overview of the Aggregate Data Collection and Effects of NTMs (pdf)
Marie-Luise Rau, Karl Shutes, and Christine Wieck - A Systematic Approach to Regulatory Heterogeneity Applied to EU Agri-Food Trade (pdf)
Heloisa Burnquist, Maurício J. Souza, Rosane N. Faria, Marie-Luise Rau, and Karl Shutes - Compositional Standards, Import Licenses and Market Structure: The Case of Canadian Cheese Imports (pdf)
Marie-Hélène Felt, Bruno Larue, and Jean-Philippe Gervais
Trade Modeling
- Choosing the Best Model in the Presence of Zero Trade: A Fish Product Analysis
Nhuong Tran and Norbert L. Wilson - Evolution of Vertical Intra-Industry Trade (VIIT) in Agricultural Commodities
Hanho Kim and Ken’ichiro Nishitsuji - Costs of Starting to Trade and Costs of Continuing to Trade
Mark J. Gibson and Tim A. Graciano
Trade Agreements
- Regionalism versus Multilateralism: An Assessment of the European Union Trade Policy
Alessandro Antimiani and Luca Salvatici - Regional Trade Agreements Revisited: The Irrefutable Benefits of “Deep” Integration
Jason H. Grant - The Impact of Free Trade Agreements on Trade of Selected Agricultural Products
John Wainio, John Dyck, Agapi Somwaru, and John Duff
Domestic Support Measurement and WTO Discipline Issues
Organizer: Anne Effland
- WTO Disciplines on Agricultural Support: Final Results of the IFPRI Project (pdf)
David Orden, David Blandford, and Tim Josling - Domestic Support in Russia’s WTO Accession (pdf)
Lars Brink - Comparative Analysis of Data Frameworks for Agricultural Policy Analysis: The WTO-Notifications and the OECD’s PSE Database
Klaus Mittenzwei, and Tim Josling - Continuing and Emerging Issues in Measuring Domestic Agricultural Support
Anne Effland
Trade Agreements and Policy Analysis
- Agricultural Trade Volumes in the Western Hemisphere: The Influence of History and Regionalism
H. Mikael Sandberg and James L. Seale - Trade Agreements, Political Economy, and Endogenously Incomplete Contracts (pdf)
Na Li and Alan Ker - Do World Prices Matter to Consumers in the Developing World?
Felix G. Baquedano and Shahla Shapouri
Non-Tariff Trade Barriers
- Phytosanitary Treatments and International Trade: An Empirical Investigation of US Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Imports
Everett Peterson, Jason Grant, Donna Roberts, and Vuko Karov - Disentangling the Demand-Enhancing Effect and Trade-Cost Effect of Technical Measures in Agricultural Trade Among OECD Countries
Bo Xiong and John Beghin - Trigger Points of the Special Safeguard Mechanism
Peyton M. Ferrier and Amanda M. Leister
Trade Modeling
- Simulating the Effects of Supply and Demand Elasticities on Political-Economic Equilibrium (pdf)
David S. Bullock - Foreign Price Risk and Source-Wise Import Demand: The Case of Soybeans in China (pdf)
Andrew Muhammad - International Trade and Water
Jeff Reimer
Trade and Competitiveness
- Competitiveness in International Food and Agricultural Markets (pdf)
Maury Bredahl - The ‘Next-11’ and Brics: Future Markets For Agrifood Exports?
Alex Cairns and Karl Meilke - Do Exports Raise Productivity? Plant-Level Evidence from the Colombian Agri-Food Industries
Ivan T. Kandilov and Xiangping Liu
Trade and Domestic Policy Analysis
- A Gravity Model Analysis of Mexico’s Retaliatory Tariffs on Selected U.S. Agricultural Products (pdf)
Steven Zahniser, Tom Hertz and Monica Argoti (Presented by John Wainio) - Effect of Tariff Escalation on Export Shares: A Computable General Equilibrium Modeling Approach
G. Badri Narayanan and Sangeeta Khorana - Ethanol Policy Effects on Petroleum and Petroleum Product Markets: A Stochastic Analysis
Jarrett Whistance and Wyatt Thompson
NTM-IMPACT Case Study Session
Organizers: Christine Wieck and David Orden
- Impact on Fresh Lemon Markets of U.S. Regulation of Imports from Argentina
Caesar Cororaton and Everett Peterson - Analysis of Avian Influenza Related Quarantine Policies and the Impact on Global Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare (pdf)
Christine Wieck, Simon Schlueter, Wolfgang Britz - Assessment of Technical and Sanitary Regulations Upon Poultry Trade Flows for the EU-27 and Brazil (pdf)
Maurício J. Souza, Luiza M. Fassarella, Rosane N. Faria, and Heloisa Burnquist
Food Price Volatility
- Evaluating the Doha Market Access Modalities (pdf)
David Laborde, Will Martin, and Dominique van der Mensbrughe - Limitations of Granger Causality Tests in Assessing the Price Effects of the Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets under Bounded Rationality (pdf) / slides (pdf)
Stephanie Grosche - Analysis of Price Volatility in the Indonesia Fresh Chili Market (pdf)
Alan J. Webb and Ivan Aditirta Kosasih
International Price Transmission Issues
- International Price Transmission in CGE Models: How to Reconcile Econometric Evidence and Endogenous Model Response?
Khalid Siddig and Harald Grethe - Price Volatility Spill-over in a Customs Union: A Case Study of the South African Customs Union (SACU)
Rakhal Sarker and Olubukola A. Oyewumi - Food Security and Wheat Prices in Afghanistan: A Distribution-Sensitive Analysis of Household-level Impacts
Anna D’Souza and Dean Jolliffe
Climate Policy and Trade
- Do Energy Prices Stimulate Food Price Volatility? Examining Volatility Transmission Between the US Oil, Ethanol and Corn Markets
Cornelis Gardebroek and Manuel A. Hernandez - Effects of China’s Growth on the Food Prices and Food Exports of other Developing Countries (pdf)
Nelson Villoria - Climate Policy, Carbon Leakage, and Competitiveness: How Might Border Tax Adjustments Help? (pdf)
Ian Sheldon and Steve McCorriston
Food Price Volatility
- Responding to More Volatile Global Food Prices in a New Era (pdf) / slides (pdf)
Robert Townsend, Christopher Delgado, Sergiy Zorya, Iride Ceddacci, Saswati Bora, and Mateo Ambrosio - How Thinly Traded are Agricultural Products and is this Related to their Price Volatility?
Peter S. Liapis - Did the Higher Food Prices Adversely Affect Food Security?
Stacey Rosen and Shahla Shapouri
Trade and Developing Country Issues
- Using Self Determination Theory to Assess Market Interactions: Small Agricultural Exporters in Bolivia, Ecuador and Peru
Linda M. Young and Theresa Bushman - The Effects of Agricultural Commercialization on Household Food Security in Rural China
Kathy Baylis, Lia Nogueira and Linlin Fan - Agricultural Commercialization, Rising Food Prices and Stunting in Malawi
Benjamin D. Wood - Dissertation Report: The Impact of Historical and Regional Networks on Trade Volumes in the Western Hemisphere: A Gravity Model Analysis
H. Mikael Sandberg, Univ of Florida (James Seale, PhD Advisor)
The Implications of Biofuel Policies for Grain Commodity Prices and WTO Disciplines
- The Theory of Biofuel Policy and Food Grain Prices
Dusan Drabik, and David R. Just - Ethanol Subsidies and WTO Disciplines
Harry de Gorter and Erika M. Kliauga
Discussant: Tim Josling
International Price Transmission Issues
- International Price Transmission: A Case Study of Corn Price Relationships Between the United States and African Markets
Paul Gallagher and Amelia Fischer - How Far Do Shocks Move Across Borders? Examining Volatility Transmission in Major Agricultural Futures Markets
Manuel A. Hernandez, Raul Ibarra, and Canilo R. Trupkin - Policy Responses to the 2007-2008 Food Price Swing and the Impact on Domestic Prices Case Study: Ecuador
Sara A. Wong