Organizers: Tom Hertel (Purdue University) and Alan Matthews (Trinity College)

The International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium  gratefully acknowledges the continuing support of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, the USDA Economic Research Service, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, and the USDA Office of the Chief Economist.  Additional support for this meeting was provided by the Andersons Program in International Trade, Ohio State University.

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Theme Day Paper Presentations:  “Climate Change and International Agricultural Trade in the Aftermath of COP21
Theme Day Organizers:  Tom Hertel (Purdue University) and Alan Mattews (Trinity College Dublin)

  • Global Trade and Risk Sharing in a Spatially Correlated Climate
    Solomon Hsiang (University of California-Berkeley)
    Discussant:  Nelson Villoria (Kansas State University)
  • Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture: Understanding Global Effects on Yield and Welfare
    Frances Moore (University of California-Davis)
    Discussant:  Jerry Nelson (University of Illinois)
  • Climate Mitigation, Global Agriculture and Food Security
    Petr Havlik (IIASA)
    Discussant:  Thomas Heckelei (University of Bonn)
  • Understanding the Interplay Between Carbon-Based Border Taxes and Global Mitigation
    Thomas Rutherford (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
    Discussant:  Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University)

Non-Theme Day Paper Presentations
Non-Theme Day Organizer:  Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission)

Luncheon Presentation

Current Challenges in Trade Policy Making – Is Economic Research Relevant?
Frederic Seppey (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)

Session 01 Trade Effects of Biofuel Policies

  • China and India Biofuel Policy, Food Versus Fuel
    Jayson Beckman (USDA, Economic Research Service)
  • Just Passing Through: RIN Prices and the Potential for Future E85 Expansion
    Jarrett Whistance and Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri)
  • The Renewable Fuel Standard: Market and Welfare Effects of Alternative Policy Scenarios
    GianCarlo Moschini, Harvey Lapan, and Hyunseok Kim (Iowa State University)

Session 02 Trade Modeling and Policy

  • US WTO Complaint on China’s Domestic Support: Preliminary Observations (Paper)
    (Slides)
    Lars Brink (Independent Advisor) and David Orden (Virginia Tech)
  • The Local Impacts of Agricultural Subsidies: Evidence form the Canadian Prairies
    Ray Bollman (University of Saskatchewan) and Shon Ferguson (Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm)
  • The Joint Effect of Trade Negotiations: What Policy Lessons to Take?
    Dillen K., Ferrari E., Boulanger P., Dudu H., Himics M., M’Barek R., and D’Avino A. (European Commission)
  • Does Trade Reduce Income Inequality in SSA? A Note
    Kolawole Ogundari (University of Delaware) and Titus Awokuse (Michigan State University)

Session 03A Trade Effects of Regional Trade Agreements

Session 03B Agricultural Trade and Policy Along the Silk Road: Roles of Multilateral and Regional Agreements

Session 04 Empirical Modeling of Input and Product Markets

  • LAO – Long-term Agricultural Outlook Model
    Marcel Adenauer, Jonathan Brooks (OECD), and John Saunders (Lincoln University, New Zealand)
  • A System Dynamics Approach to Trade Analysis Modeling Global Dairy Trade
    Brad Gehrke, John Fry, and Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission)
  • U.S. Imports and the Rise of Chained Specialist Coffee Shops
    Andrew Muhammad (USDA, Economic Research Service), Norbert Wilson (Auburn University), and Amanda (Leister) Countryman (Colorado State University)
  • A Gravity Model of Blue Virtual Water Trade
    Rui Chen and Norbert Wilson (Auburn University)

Session 05 Role of Research in Agricultural Trade Negotiations – CANCELLED

Session 06 Climate Change and Trade

  • Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa
    Eric D. Raile, Linda Young (Montana State University), Samba Mbaye (Gaston Berger University, Senegal), Lena Woolridge, Amber Raile (Montana State University), and Lori Ann Post (Yale University)
  • Climate Change and the U.S. Livestock Market
    Elham Darbandi (University of Kentucky)
  • Global Potential for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in Ruminant Livestock Sectors
    Henderson B. (CSIRO, Australia), Golub A. (Purdue University), Pambudi D. (Wellington, New Zealand), Hertel T. (Purdue University), Godde C. (CSIRO, Australia), Herrero M. (CSIRO, Australia), Cacho O. (University of New England, Australia), Steinfeld H. (FAO), and Gerber P. (World Bank)

Session 07 Dissertation Report and Free-Form Discussion

  • The Trans-Pacific Partnership and Japan’s Agricultural Trade
    Manhong Zhu; Supervisor: Andrew Schmitz (University of Florida)
  • How Best to Organize an IATRC Theme Day on Corruption and Agricultural Trade Research?
    Lars Brink (Independent Advisor), David Orden (Virginia Tech), Rick Barichello (University of British Columbia), and Titus Awokuse (Michigan State University)

Session 08 Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) and Global Beef Trade: A 12-Year Retrospective Assessment

  • Beef Market Analysis in the Wake of BSE
    Sharon Sydow (USDA, Office of Chief Economist)
  • Econometric Import Demand Specification and Results
    Xin Ning and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech)
  • Dynamic GTAP Back-Casting Experiment Setup and Results
    Everett Peterson and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech)

Session 09 International Affairs, Agriculture, and Article 50: Brexit’s Effects on the UK, the EU, and the World

Session 10 Dimensions of Exports, Location and Data

  • Export Spillover and Location Choice
    Chang Hong and Haoyu Wu (Clarke University)
  • Exports and Establishment-Level Performance in Canadian Food and Beverage Manufacturing
    Bruce Phillips (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)
  • Chinese Firms in Agricultural Trade: Introducing a New Dataset
    Chaoping Xie and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech)
  • Evolution of the Competitiveness in Korean Food Industry Using New Revealed Comparative Advantage (New-RCA) Index
    Ji-Yoon Bae and Hanho Kim (Seoul National University, Korea)

Session 11 Analytical Dimensions of Trade

  • ASEAN Bilateral Seafood Trade Duration Analysis
    Ping Wang, Norbert Wilson (Auburn University), and Nhuong Tran (WorldFish Center Penang, Malaysia)
  • The Impact of Transportation Costs on International Trade of Agricultural Commodities: The Alchian-Allen Theorem in an n-Good World
    Dragan Miljkovic (North Dakota State University) and Miguel Gomez (Cornell University)
  • Non-reciprocal Trade Agreements and their Impacts on Value Added Exports
    Anupa Sharma (North Dakota State University)
  • New Evidence for Demand Behavior Facing MRL Regulatory Heterogeneity in International Trade
    Heloisa Lee Burnquist, Rafael Lopes Lacomini (University of Sao Paulo), and Cinthia Cabral da Costa (Empraba, Brazil)

Session 12 Aspects of Quality and Labeling in Trade