Organizers: Kari Heerman (USDA-ERS) and Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri)
The International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium gratefully acknowledges the continuing support of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, the USDA Economic Research Service, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, and the USDA Office of the Chief Economist. Additional support for this meeting was provided by the Andersons Program in International Trade, Ohio State University.
Theme Day Paper Presentations: “Globalization Adrift”
Theme Day Organizers: Kari Heerman (USDA-ERS) and Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri)
- Why is the Employment Share in Manufacturing Declining? Perspectives from Advanced and Developing Countries
Robert Lawrence (Harvard University)
Discussant: Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University) - Fault Lines: The Gains and Losses from Trade
Amit Khandelwal (Columbia University)
Discussant: Gopi Munisamy (USDA-ERS) - Luncheon Presentation: Are We Facing Deglobalization? Some Analogies with the Past Breakdowns of Globalization
Harold James (Princeton University) - Continental Drift
- Labor Mobility and Trade Agreements: Canadian vs. American from NAFTA to TPP
Paper published in the Journal of International Trade Law and Policy, January 2019
Meredith Lilly (Carleton University) - Trade, Technology, and the Skill Premium: The Case of Mexico
Andrea Waddle (University of Richmond)
Discussant: James Rude (University of Alberta)
- Labor Mobility and Trade Agreements: Canadian vs. American from NAFTA to TPP
- Rifts and Tremors: The Future of Globalization and its Institutions
Chad Bown (Peterson Institute)
Michael Castellano (Walt Disney Co.)
Discussant: Linda Young
Non-Theme Day Paper Presentations
Non-Theme Day Organizer: Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission)
Session 01 Domestic Farm Policies and WTO: Where Next?
Organizers: Ekaterina Krivonos (UN-FAO), Joe Glauber (IFPRI), and William Meyers (University of Missouri)
Discussion Opener: Kim Elliot (Center for Global Development)
Discussion Leader: Tom Josling (Stanford University)
- A Perspective from the EU
Tassos Haniotis (European Commission) - A Perspective from the United States
Jason Hafemeister (USDA, Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs) - Food Security Perspective
Ekaterina Krivonos (UN-FAO) - The Influence of WTO Dispute Settlement vs. Negotiations
Daniel Sumner (University of California Davis) - Impacts of Proposed Domestic Support Disciplines on Developing Countries
Valeria Piniero (IFPRI)
Session 02 Non-Tariff Measures and Agricultural Trade: Challenges, Emerging Issues, and Prospects for Future Research
Organizers: Lesley Ahmed (U.S. International Trade Commission) and Andrew Muhammad (USDA, Economic Research Service)
- Emerging Foreign Regulatory Policies Affecting Agricultural Trade: Perspectives from USDA
Andrew Stephens (USDA, Economic Research Service) - SPS Measures and Export Hazard Rates: A Comprehensive Assessment of U.S. and Global Agricultural Trade
Shawn Arita (USDA, Economic Research Service), Jason Grant (Virginia Tech), and Everett Peterson (Virginia Tech) - The Gravity of SPS Risk
Peter Herman, Lesley Ahmed, Caroline Peters, and David Riker (U.S. International Trade Commission) - China is Rejecting Imported Foods: New Trade Barriers?
Fred Gale and Shawn Arita (USDA, Economic Research Service)
Session 03 Price Analysis in Global Commodity Markets
- The Effect of Trade Shocks on U.S. Distillers’ Grains Prices
Lia Nogueira, Vanessa de Oliveira and Kate Brooks (University of Nebraska) - The Transmission of World Pulses Prices to Domestic Markets in India: An Analysis at the Port Level
Poornima Varma and Sonali Bhatia (Indian Institute of Management, Gujarat, India) - Sources of Domestic Food Price Volatility: An Empirical Investigation Using Structual Gravity of Maize Markets
Nelson Villoria (Kansas State University) - Wheat Price Formation in the Black Sea Region: the Role of Egypt’s GASC
Maximilian Heigermoser, Linde Goetz, Miranda Svanidze, and Thomas Glauben (IAMO Germany) - Interdependent Price Dynamics between Cash Crop and Staple Food Futures
El Mamoun Amrouk, Stephanie Grosche, and Thomas Heckelei (University of Bonn, Germany)
Session 04 Policy and Regulation in Agricultural Markets
- On the EU Entry Price System for Fruit and Vegetables: Overall Assessment of its Effects on Trade
Fabio Gaetano (University of Foggia), Victor Martinez-Gomez (University of Valencia), Laura Marquez-Ramos (University of Valencia), and Emilia Lamonaca (University of Foggia) - Responses of the Brazilian Soybean Sector to Public and Private Environmental Requirements
Aline Soares and Silvia de Miranda (University of Sao Paulo) - State Trade Deregulation and Cropping Patterns on the Canadian Prairies
Colin Carter (University of California Davis) and Shon Ferguson (Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm) - Agricultural Trade Reform, Reallocation and Technical Change: Evidence from the Canadian Prairies
Mark Brown (Statistics Canada), Shon Ferguson (Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm), and Crina Viju (Carleton University, Canada)
Session 05 Analysis of Exports in Agricultural Markets
- Exporter Experience and Sequential Trade in the International Coffee Market
Sven Anders (University of Alberta) - Export Interventions in Agriculture
Angel Aguiar (Purdue University), Jayson Beckman (USDA, Economic Research Service), and Carmen Estrades (Universidad de la Republica, Uruguay) - Destination-Specific Export Competitiveness of the Hog Sector in Canada
Rakhal Sarker and Yuxi (Joy) Li (University of Guelph)
Session 06 IATRC Commissioned Papers and Dissertation Reports
- Commissioned Paper: Firms, Exports, and Agricultural Trade Policy: New Evidence from Chinese Firm-Level Trade Transactions
Jason Grant (Virginia Tech), Kathryn Boys (North Carolina State University), and Shawn Arita (USDA, Economic Research Service) - Commissioned Paper: On Non-Tariff Measures and Changes in Trade Routes: From North-North to South-South Trade?
Fabio Santeramo (University of Foggia) - Commissioned Paper: Modeling and Forecasting Agricultural Commodity Support in the Developing Countries
Jing Zhao, J. Isaac Miller, Olivia Bian, Julian Binfield, and Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri) - Dissertation Report: Three Cases in Agricultural Trade Policy: Russian Ban on U.S. Chicken, Japanese Ban on U.S. Beef, and the New Korean Rice TRQ
Byung Min Soon (University of Missouri); Supervisor: Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri) - Dissertation Report: A Dynamic NL-IAIDS Model of U.S. Fresh Bell Pepper Imports
Felipe Peguero (Louisiana State University); Supervisor: P. Lynn Kennedy (Louisiana State University)
Session 07 Analysis of Agricultural Trade Agreements and Policy
- Cumulative Effects of Brexit and Other UK and EU27 Bilateral FTAs on the World’s Wine Markets
Kym Anderson (University of Adelaide and Australian National University, Canberra) and Glyn Wittwer (Victoria University, Melbourne) - Transparency: Stakeholder Concerns from the TTIP Negotiations
Linda Young (Montana State University) - Analyzing the Potential Effects of RCEP on the Philippine Economy
Caesar Cororaton (Virginia Tech) - U.S.-Cuban Agricultural Trade: Recent Developments, Current Issues and Future Prospects
William Messina Jr. and Spiro Stefanou (University of Florida)
Session 08 Firm Heterogeneity, Productivity, and Trade Costs
- Firm Sales and Export Status: Evidence on the Role of Firm Productivity, Market Size and Market Penetration Costs
Yaghoob Jafari and Thomas Heckelei (University of Bonn) - Assymetric Trade Costs: Agricultural Trade among Developing and Developed Countries
Jihyun Eum (Bank of Korea) and Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University) - Effects of Export Diversification on CO2 Emissions: Panel Data Analysis
Liu Hongbo and Hanho Kim (Seoul National University) and Justin Choe
Session 09 Effects of Non-Tariff Measures on Trade
- Measuring the Monetary Impact the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Incapacity to Certify U.S. Dairy Facilities in Adherence with China’s Measures for Registration of Overseas Manufacturers of Imported Food (AQSIQ Decree 145)
Elizabeth Gooch (USDA, Economic Research Service) and Astha Sen (Sonoma State University) - The Circulation of Bovine Animals in Mato Grosso do Sul State (Brazil) and its Potential Economic Implications in a Context of FMD Outbreaks
Tais Menezes, Silvia de Miranda (University of Sao Paulo), and Ivette Luna Huamani (Unicamp, Brazil) - Import Protections in China’s Grain Markets: An Empirical Assessment
Bowen Chen, Nelson Villoria, and Tian Xia (Kansas State University)
Session 10 Analysis for Agricultural Consumption and Trade in China
- China’s Urban Wine, Beer, and Spirits Consumption: Implications for Household Nutrition and Health
Yan Wang, Thomas Wahl (North Dakota State University), Junfei Bai (China Agricultural University, Beijing), and James Seale (University of Florida) - The Effect of China’s Family Structure on Household Nutrition
Yan Wang, Thomas Wahl (North Dakota State University), Junfei Bai (China Agricultural University, Beijing), and James Seale (University of Florida) - Exchange Rates, Income Growth, and Chinese Agricultural Imports
Chang Hong, William Liefert, and Sun Ling Wang (USDA, Economic Research Service)
Session 11 Development Assistance and Public Storage
- Untying Aid – The Case of Canadian Food Assistance
Ryan Cardwell (University of Manitoba) and Pascal Ghazalian (University of Lethbridge) - Food Subsidies in India: Comparing the Medium Term Impacts of Physical Grain Transfers and Different Types of Cash Transfers
Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer (OECD) - The Coherence Agricultural and Development Policies: Focus on the EU and ASSA
P. Boulanger (Joint Research Centre, European Commission); K. Dillen (DG AGRI, European Commission); H. Dudu, E. Ferrari, R. M’Barek, and G. Philippidis (Joint Research Centre, European Commission) - Acquisition for Public Stockholding: WTO Rules, Country Policies and Negotiating Pressures
Lars Brink (Independent Advisor)
Session 12 Agricultural Trade WTO Disputes between the United States and China: Broiler Duties, Domestic Support and TRQ Administration
Organizers: David Orden (Virginia Tech), Lars Brink (Independent Advisor), and Mary Marchant (Virginia Tech)
- China – Anti-Dumping and Countervailing Duty Measures on Broiler Products from the United States (WTO Dispute DS427)
Thomas Prusa (Rutgers University) - China – Domestic Support for Agricultural Producers (WTO Dispute DS511)
Lars Brink (Independent Advisor) and David Orden (Virginia Tech) - China – Tariff Rate Quotas for Certain Agricultural Products (WTO Dispute DS517)
Fred Gale (USDA, Economic Research Service - China’s Agricultural Policies in Relation to Trade: Evolution and Future Directions
Funing Zhong and Jing Zhu (Nanjing Agricultural University, China)
Session 13 Drift in the U.S. Agricultural Export Market
Organizer: Deepayan Debnath (University of Missouri)
- Trade Facilitation and Food Security and its Implications to the U.S. Market
Marcel Adenauer and Jonathan Brooks (OECD) - China’s Meat Import Demand – The Impact of Supplier Diversification on U.S. Exports
Mina Hejazi, Jue Zhu, and Mary Marchant (Virginia Tech) - Consequence of Domestic Biofuels Policy on the U.S. Ethanol Export Demand
Deepayan Debnath, Wyatt Thompson, Jarrett Whistance, and Patrick Westhoff (University of Missouri)
Session 14 Perspectives on Current Issues in Trade Negotiations
- Brexit and Agricultural Trade
Lorraine Mitchell (USDA, Economic Research Service) - Welfare Analysis of Sweetener Trade between the United States and Mexico
Prithviraj Lakkakula and Tom Wahl (North Dakota State University) - Opportunities in Agri-Food Trade from a Modernisation of the EU-Chile Association Agreement
Bruno Henry de Frahan (Universite Catholique de Louvain, Belgium) and Alberto Valdes (Pontifica Universidad Catolica de Chile) Presenter: Tim Josling (Stanford University) - Beyond Winning Hearts and Minds: Negotiating EU-China Agricultural Trade Relations
Lucie Qian Xia (Oxford University)
Session 15 25 Years of Transition in Europe and Central Asia: A Diversity of Success and Failure in Globalization
Organizer: William Meyers (University of Missouri)
Discussant: Lars Brink (Independent Advisor)
- Transition in Agricultural Policies: Is the Past the Future of the Present?
Miranda Svanidze, Ivan Djuric and Linde Goetz (IAMO, Germany) - Transition in Agricultural Trade: East, West, Home is Best?
Ekaterina Krivonos (UN-FAO) - Transition in Food Security: Successes, Failures, and New Challenges
Kateryna Schroeder (World Bank), William Meyers (University of Missouri), and David Sedik (UN-FAO)
Session 16 GE Gravity: A New Approach to General Equilibrium Modeling for Applied Policy Analysis
Organizer: Kari Heerman (USDA, Economic Research Service)
- The USITC GE Gravity Model
Serge Shikher (U.S. International Trade Commission) - GE Gravity: Benefits and Opportunities for Research
Mina Hejazi (Virginia Tech) - The Systematic Heterogeneity Gravity Model
Kari Heerman (USDA, Economic Research Service
Session 17 Labor and Land Use
- International Trade and Global Land Use Patterns
Anupa Sharma (North Dakota State University) and Sandip Ghimire (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada) - The Crucial Role of International Trade in Adaptation to Climate Change
Christophe Gouel (INRA, France) and David Laborde (IFPRI) - The Impact of Internal Migration on the Health of Rural Migrants: Evidence from China
Haiyang Lu (Fujian University), Ivan Kandilov (North Dakota State University), Rong Zhu (Flinders University), and Yifang Zheng (Fujian University)